← Serie B 2021 · Wed, Mar 2, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 35% | 3.02 |
| Cittadella win | 34% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Spal +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Santiago Visentin · Cittadella |
| 42' | 🟨 | Biagio Meccariello · Spal |
| 48' | 🟨 | Romano Perticone · Cittadella |
| 69' | 🟨 | Salvatore Esposito · Spal |
| 76' | 🟨 | Marco Pinato · Spal |
| 90' | 🟨 | Camillo Tavernelli · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 25 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.60 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 60.00 | 244.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 1.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1407.44 | 1518.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.21 | 11.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.50 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.78 |
| league points | 31.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 65.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 4.19 | 3.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | -1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.80 | 27.17 |
| state index | -0.83 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |