← Serie B 2021 · Tue, Mar 1, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Meraviglia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alessandria win | 41% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Como 1907 win | 27% | 3.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Alessandria −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟥 | Vittorio Parigini · Como 1907 |
| 38' | 🟨 | Valerio Mantovani · Alessandria |
| 39' | ⚽ | Antonino La Gumina · Como 1907 |
| 51' | 🟨 | Diego Fabbrini · Alessandria |
| 65' | 🟨 | Matteo Di Gennaro · Alessandria |
| 65' | 🟨 | Tommaso Milanese · Alessandria |
| 87' | ⚽ | Federico Casarini · Alessandria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Davide Bertoncini · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 29 | Shots | 8 |
| 10 | On target | 2 |
| 16 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alessandria | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta |
| coach days | 424.00 | 455.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.57 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1395.52 | 1421.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.19 | 16.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.75 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.82 |
| league points | 23.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.00 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 3.27 | 3.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 0.85 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.01 | -0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.88 | 27.19 |
| state index | -1.12 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |