← Serie B 2021 · Tue, Mar 1, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: G. Miele
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Perugia win | 27% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Perugia −0.25 | 50% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Gabriele Ferrarini · Perugia |
| 28' | ⚽ | Manuel De Luca · Perugia |
| 30' | 🟨 | Gabriele Ferrarini · Perugia |
| 30' | 🟥 | Gabriele Ferrarini · Perugia |
| 44' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Brescia |
| 81' | ⚽ | Flavio Bianchi · Brescia |
| 84' | ⚽ | Rodrigo Palacio · Brescia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marko Pajač · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 27 | Shots | 11 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 15 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 0.00 | 273.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 8.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 3.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1562.81 | 1492.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.04 | 26.89 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.00 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.81 |
| league points | 51.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 3.19 | 3.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.42 | -0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.52 | 27.26 |
| state index | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | -0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |