← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Feb 27, 02:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Doveri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 35% | 2.94 |
| US Lecce win | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza +0 | 51% | 2.03 |
| US Lecce +0 | 49% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Giulio Donati · AC Monza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Luca Mazzitelli · AC Monza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alessandro Tuia · US Lecce |
| 50' | 🟨 | José Machín · AC Monza |
| 54' | 🟨 | Gabriel Paletta · AC Monza |
| 56' | ⚽ (pen) | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 63' | 🟨 | Fabio Lucioni · US Lecce |
| 66' | 🟨 | Mario Gargiulo · US Lecce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AC Monza | US Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | U-Power Stadium |
| coach days | 241.00 | 241.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1545.85 | 1588.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.74 | -18.69 |
| eye test v1 | 0.57 | 0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| league points | 45.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 18.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 4.88 | 3.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 17.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.16 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.33 | 27.21 |
| state index | 0.41 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.70 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |