← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Feb 27, 02:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Baroni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Crotone win | 26% | 3.88 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Crotone −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Eric Botteghin · Ascoli |
| 39' | 🟨 | Dario Šarić · Ascoli |
| 44' | 🟨 | Marco Sala · Crotone |
| 54' | ⚽ | Ben Lhassine Kone · Crotone |
| 70' | 🟨 | Nahuel Estévez · Crotone |
| 74' | 🟨 | Ben Lhassine Kone · Crotone |
| 84' | ⚽ | Nicola Falasco · Ascoli |
| 85' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Bellusci · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fabio Maistro · Ascoli |
| 90' | ⚽ | Fabio Maistro · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 453.00 | 149.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 3.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1483.23 | 1376.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.09 | -23.04 |
| eye test v1 | 0.51 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.67 |
| league points | 42.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 3.88 | 3.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 0.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.13 | 24.88 |
| state index | 0.02 | -1.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.97 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |