← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Feb 26, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Mariani
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza win | 34% | 2.93 |
| Alessandria win | 33% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.95 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alessandria +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Cosenza +0 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Michael Venturi · Cosenza |
| 29' | ⚽ | Matteo Di Gennaro · Alessandria |
| 39' | 🟨 | Federico Casarini · Alessandria |
| 60' | ⚽ | Michele Camporese · Cosenza |
| 62' | 🟨 | Gabriel Lunetta · Alessandria |
| 81' | ⚽ (pen) | Joaquín Larrivey · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Alessandria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 25.00 | 421.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 2.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1341.21 | 1405.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.42 | -11.72 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | -0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.10 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| league points | 24.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 63.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 2.81 | 3.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.84 | -1.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.35 | 27.67 |
| state index | -1.56 | -1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.62 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |