← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Feb 26, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Irrati
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 40% | 2.70 |
| Como 1907 win | 31% | 3.42 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Como 1907 +0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Alberto Cerri · Como 1907 |
| 18' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Brescia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Vittorio Parigini · Como 1907 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Federico Proia · Brescia |
| 53' | 🟨 | Massimiliano Mangraviti · Brescia |
| 54' | 🟨 | Tommaso Arrigoni · Como 1907 |
| 71' | ⚽ | Florian Ayé · Brescia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andrea Papetti · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.56 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| coach days | 452.00 | 270.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1419.29 | 1565.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.21 | 5.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | 0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| league points | 37.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 2.81 | 2.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.80 | 7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 18.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.23 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.52 | 0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |