← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Feb 26, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: V. Marini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 51% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.76 |
| Spal win | 22% | 5.12 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 −0.75 | 50% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Gennaro Tutino · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 30' | 🟨 | Raffaele Celia · Spal |
| 33' | ⚽ | Adrián Bernabé · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 51' | 🟨 | Jacopo Da Riva · Spal |
| 53' | 🟨 | Woyo Coulibaly · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 59' | 🟨 | Simy · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 62' | ⚽ | Franco Vázquez · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 68' | ⚽ | Adrian Benedyczak · Parma Calcio 1913 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Parma Calcio 1913 | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Ennio Tardini |
| coach days | 117.00 | 56.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1476.28 | 1420.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.92 | -11.27 |
| eye test v1 | 0.00 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.10 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.68 |
| league points | 32.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 3.81 | 3.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.94 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.02 | 27.09 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |