← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Feb 26, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Giua
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 42% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
| Ternana win | 29% | 3.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Cremonese +0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.87 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Anthony Partipilo · Ternana |
| 27' | 🟨 | Michele Castagnetti · Cremonese |
| 58' | 🟨 | Nicolò Fagioli · Cremonese |
| 59' | ⚽ | Jaime Báez · Cremonese |
| 62' | ⚽ | Simone Mazzocchi · Ternana |
| 64' | 🟨 | Jaime Báez · Cremonese |
| 80' | ⚽ | Gianluca Gaetano · Cremonese |
| 81' | 🟨 | Aniello Salzano · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 21 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 1121.00 | 421.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 3.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1419.93 | 1545.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.86 | 13.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.58 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.30 | 45.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.77 |
| league points | 34.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 3.81 | 3.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | -0.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.41 | 25.54 |
| state index | -0.43 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | -0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |