← Serie B 2021 · Wed, Feb 23, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: G. Camplone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 55% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.76 |
| Cittadella win | 19% | 6.15 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Cittadella −0.75 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Mirko Antonucci · Cittadella |
| 20' | 🟨 | Marcin Listkowski · US Lecce |
| 34' | 🟨 | Daniele Donnarumma · Cittadella |
| 44' | 🟨 | Valerio Mastrantonio · Cittadella |
| 50' | 🟨 | Santiago Visentin · Cittadella |
| 61' | 🟨 | Mirko Antonucci · Cittadella |
| 65' | ⚽ | Mamadou Tounkara · Cittadella |
| 74' | 🟨 | Romano Perticone · Cittadella |
| 88' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Antonino Ragusa · US Lecce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Lecce | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.00 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Via del Mare |
| coach days | 237.00 | 237.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1603.57 | 1487.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.37 | -27.04 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.78 |
| league points | 49.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 3.13 | 3.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.96 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.40 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.50 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.02 | 26.80 |
| state index | 0.63 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |