← Serie B 2021 · Wed, Feb 23, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: V. Marini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento win | 57% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.20 |
| Como 1907 win | 18% | 6.07 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento −0.75 | 55% | 1.74 |
| Como 1907 −0.75 | 45% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Álex Blanco · Como 1907 |
| 6' | 🟨 | Matteo Solini · Como 1907 |
| 11' | 🟨 | Matteo Solini · Como 1907 |
| 11' | 🟥 | Matteo Solini · Como 1907 |
| 12' | ⚽ (pen) | Francesco Forte · Benevento |
| 21' | ⚽ (pen) | Roberto Insigne · Benevento |
| 33' | 🟨 | Davide Bertoncini · Como 1907 |
| 38' | ⚽ | Roberto Insigne · Benevento |
| 49' | ⚽ | Francesco Forte · Benevento |
| 62' | ⚽ | Gennaro Acampora · Benevento |
| 70' | 🟨 | Angelo Talia · Benevento |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 4 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 0 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Benevento | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadio Ciro Vigorito |
| coach days | 267.00 | 449.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 2.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1554.02 | 1429.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.69 | 26.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 51.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | — |
| league points | 43.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 3.13 | 3.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.60 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.11 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |