← Serie B 2021 · Tue, Feb 22, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Piccinini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 35% | 2.90 |
| Alessandria win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.99 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alessandria +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Perugia +0 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.65 |
| Over | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Federico Casarini · Alessandria |
| 15' | 🟨 | Gianmaria Zanandrea · Perugia |
| 20' | ⚽ | Valerio Mantovani · Alessandria |
| 34' | ⚽ | Marco Olivieri · Perugia |
| 37' | 🟨 | Salvatore Burrai · Perugia |
| 48' | 🟨 | Tommaso Milanese · Alessandria |
| 52' | 🟨 | Marco Olivieri · Perugia |
| 65' | ⚽ | Marcello Falzerano · Perugia |
| 83' | 🟨 | Aleandro Rosi · Perugia |
| 86' | 🟨 | Simone Santoro · Perugia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 25 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alessandria | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta |
| coach days | 417.00 | 266.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1415.14 | 1492.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.18 | 24.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.82 |
| league points | 23.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.40 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 3.19 | 3.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.24 | -0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.84 | 27.33 |
| state index | -0.91 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |