← Serie B 2021 · Tue, Feb 22, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Serra
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 49% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.27 |
| Pordenone win | 22% | 4.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone +0.5 | 52% | 1.90 |
| AC Monza +0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Mattia Valoti · AC Monza |
| 20' | 🟨 | Davis Mensah · Pordenone |
| 24' | ⚽ | Andrea Colpani · AC Monza |
| 35' | 🟨 | Luca Mazzitelli · AC Monza |
| 38' | 🟨 | Mario Sampirisi · AC Monza |
| 42' | 🟨 | Francesco Deli · Pordenone |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alessio Sabbione · Pordenone |
| 64' | ⚽ | Mattia Valoti · AC Monza |
| 67' | ⚽ | Christian Gytkjær · AC Monza |
| 68' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Di Serio · Pordenone |
| 74' | 🟨 | Alessandro Lovisa · Pordenone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 21 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pordenone | AC Monza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Guido Teghil |
| coach days | 174.00 | 236.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1314.25 | 1535.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.21 | 3.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | 0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 49.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| league points | 12.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.20 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 58.80 |
| rest days | 3.19 | 3.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.48 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.11 | 0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 24.44 | 26.55 |
| state index | -0.94 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.27 | 0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |