β Serie B 2021 Β· Sun, Feb 20, 02:30 PM UTC Β· ref: A. Prontera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 50% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Cosenza win | 21% | 4.77 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 β0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Cosenza β0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.81 |
| Over | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 61' | π¨ | Alessandro Bellemo Β· Como 1907 |
| 67' | π¨ | Vincenzo Millico Β· Cosenza |
| 71' | β½ | Alessandro Gabrielloni Β· Como 1907 |
| 84' | β½ | Alessandro Gabrielloni Β· Como 1907 |
| 87' | π¨ | Tommaso Arrigoni Β· Como 1907 |
| 88' | β½ | Giuseppe Caso Β· Cosenza |
| 90' | π₯ | Idriz Voca Β· Cosenza |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 2 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | β |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | β |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | β |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | β |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| coach days | 446.00 | 19.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.10 | 1.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1423.36 | 1344.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.12 | 5.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.69 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.30 | 46.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.80 |
| league points | 34.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 14.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 3.88 | 4.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | -0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.79 | 26.69 |
| state index | -0.35 | -1.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | -0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |