← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Feb 20, 02:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 62% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.25 |
| Crotone win | 15% | 7.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce −1 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Crotone −1 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 45' | 🟥 | Giuseppe Cuomo · Crotone |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 59' | ⚽ | Gabriel Strefezza · US Lecce |
| 70' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Mariano · US Lecce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 0 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Lecce | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Via del Mare |
| coach days | 234.00 | 142.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 3.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1597.53 | 1385.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.73 | -8.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | -0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.79 |
| league points | 46.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 3.88 | 3.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.92 | 0.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.44 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 26.23 | 25.23 |
| state index | 0.39 | -0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | 0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |