← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Feb 20, 02:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Gariglio
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento win | 36% | 2.69 |
| Cittadella win | 33% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Cittadella +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Davide Mazzocco · Cittadella |
| 19' | 🟨 | Kamil Glik · Benevento |
| 24' | 🟨 | Domenico Frare · Cittadella |
| 65' | 🟨 | Nicola Pavan · Cittadella |
| 69' | ⚽ | Riccardo Improta · Benevento |
| 70' | 🟨 | Riccardo Improta · Benevento |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alessandro Mattioli · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Diego Farias · Benevento |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jacopo Petriccione · Benevento |
| 90' | 🟥 | Diego Farias · Benevento |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Benevento |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.17 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 234.00 | 264.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 3.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1497.83 | 1543.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.53 | -44.90 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.73 |
| league points | 39.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 4.88 | 3.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 26.45 | 27.96 |
| state index | -0.16 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |