← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Feb 19, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 38% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Cremonese win | 30% | 3.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −0.25 | 53% | 1.88 |
| Perugia −0.25 | 47% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Salvatore Burrai · Perugia |
| 68' | 🟨 | Leonardo Sernicola · Cremonese |
| 69' | 🟨 | Andrea Meroni · Cremonese |
| 78' | 🟨 | Manuel De Luca · Perugia |
| 87' | 🟨 | Emanuele Valeri · Cremonese |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cristian Dell'Orco · Perugia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 263.00 | 414.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1492.74 | 1558.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.76 | 37.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.41 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 48.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.72 |
| league points | 40.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.60 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 39.60 |
| rest days | 3.91 | 3.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.86 | -1.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.50 | 25.94 |
| state index | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.15 | -1.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |