← Serie B 2021 · Wed, Feb 16, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Volpi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 35% | 2.83 |
| Brescia win | 35% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Crotone +0 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.82 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Andrea Cistana · Brescia |
| 20' | 🟨 | Matthieu Huard · Brescia |
| 35' | ⚽ (pen) | Matteo Tramoni · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 4 | Shots | 18 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crotone | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Ezio Scida |
| coach days | 138.00 | 260.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.51 | 3.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1392.73 | 1550.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.72 | -5.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.81 |
| league points | 14.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 4.09 | 3.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.61 | 1.87 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 24.83 | 26.36 |
| state index | -0.35 | 0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.82 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |