← Serie B 2021 · Tue, Feb 15, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Sacchi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 42% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.09 |
| Cosenza win | 26% | 3.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Cosenza +0.25 | 50% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ | Ryder Matos · Perugia |
| 50' | 🟨 | Andrea Ghion · Perugia |
| 55' | ⚽ | Christian D'Urso · Perugia |
| 70' | ⚽ | Michele Camporese · Cosenza |
| 80' | 🟨 | Marco Olivieri · Perugia |
| 83' | 🟨 | Mirko Carretta · Perugia |
| 84' | 🟨 | Aleandro Rosi · Perugia |
| 86' | 🟨 | Alberto Gerbo · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 17 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 23 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 14.00 | 259.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1352.54 | 1484.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.11 | 16.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.78 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.50 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.73 |
| league points | 23.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 67.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 3.19 | 3.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.88 | -1.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.44 | 27.25 |
| state index | -1.23 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.62 | -1.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |