← Serie B 2021 · Tue, Feb 15, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Sozza
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 40% | 2.41 |
| Pordenone win | 30% | 3.31 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone +0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Cittadella +0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Giacomo Beretta · Cittadella |
| 25' | 🟨 | Francesco Deli · Pordenone |
| 29' | 🟨 | Tommaso Cassandro · Cittadella |
| 36' | 🟨 | Domenico Frare · Cittadella |
| 59' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Di Serio · Pordenone |
| 71' | 🟨 | Nicola Pavan · Cittadella |
| 77' | 🟨 | Camillo Tavernelli · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Karim Laribi · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pordenone | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| venue | Stadio Guido Teghil |
| coach days | 167.00 | 229.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1329.82 | 1490.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.83 | -27.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.94 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.10 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.80 |
| league points | 12.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.20 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 3.19 | 3.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.52 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.45 | -0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 24.82 | 27.62 |
| state index | -0.93 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.00 | -0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |