← Serie B 2021 · Tue, Feb 15, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Meraviglia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 38% | 2.61 |
| Ternana win | 32% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Ternana +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Luca Ghiringhelli · Ternana |
| 38' | ⚽ (pen) | Mattia Valoti · AC Monza |
| 42' | 🟨 | Frederik Sørensen · Ternana |
| 79' | 🟨 | Federico Furlan · Ternana |
| 83' | 🟨 | Bruno Martella · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 21 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | AC Monza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 1110.00 | 229.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 3.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1432.55 | 1540.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.07 | -7.41 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.90 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.63 |
| league points | 31.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 3.19 | 3.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 29.06 | 27.57 |
| state index | -0.12 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |