← Serie B 2021 · Tue, Feb 15, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Baroni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Reggina win | 24% | 4.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Spal −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Nicolò Bianchi · Reggina |
| 19' | ⚽ | Marco Mancosu · Spal |
| 32' | 🟨 | Federico Giraudo · Reggina |
| 34' | ⚽ | Marco Tumminello · Reggina |
| 38' | 🟨 | Patryk Peda · Spal |
| 51' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Crisetig · Reggina |
| 58' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Loiacono · Reggina |
| 60' | ⚽ | Nicolò Bianchi · Reggina |
| 65' | 🟨 | Biagio Meccariello · Spal |
| 78' | ⚽ | Andrej Gălăbinov · Reggina |
| 88' | 🟨 | Nicola Bellomo · Reggina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Reggina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 45.00 | 259.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1420.65 | 1408.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.20 | -20.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.77 | -1.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 53.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.64 |
| league points | 26.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 3.19 | 3.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.51 | -0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.44 | 29.20 |
| state index | -1.01 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |