← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Feb 13, 02:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Pairetto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 47% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 |
| Benevento win | 25% | 4.17 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| US Lecce −0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ (og) | Arturo Calabresi · Benevento |
| 15' | 🟨 | Gabriel Strefezza · US Lecce |
| 40' | ⚽ | Gabriel Strefezza · US Lecce |
| 42' | 🟨 | Mario Gargiulo · US Lecce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andrés Tello · Benevento |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Lecce | Benevento |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Via del Mare |
| coach days | 227.00 | 257.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.08 | 3.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1603.60 | 1562.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.57 | -2.79 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.74 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.80 |
| league points | 44.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 8.06 | 8.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.98 | 0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.73 | 28.97 |
| state index | 0.69 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.76 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |