← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Feb 13, 02:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Paterna
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 56% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.65 |
| Alessandria win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alessandria −0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Brescia −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | — · Alessandria |
| 28' | 🟨 | Mattia Mustacchio · Alessandria |
| 32' | 🟨 | Tom Van De Looi · Brescia |
| 69' | ⚽ | Simone Corazza · Alessandria |
| 79' | 🟨 | Luca Coccolo · Alessandria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stefano Moreo · Brescia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Simone Palombi · Alessandria |
| 90' | ⚽ | Stefano Moreo · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Alessandria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 257.00 | 408.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.11 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1555.76 | 1418.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.74 | -16.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.71 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.77 |
| league points | 42.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 66.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 8.06 | 8.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.91 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.29 | -1.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.39 | 28.13 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |