← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Feb 12, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Serra
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 36% | 2.75 |
| Perugia win | 33% | 3.14 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio +0 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Perugia +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.59 |
| Over | 40% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Manuel De Luca · Perugia |
| 18' | 🟨 | Jacopo Segre · Perugia |
| 23' | ⚽ | Marco Olivieri · Perugia |
| 48' | 🟨 | Francesco Zampano · Frosinone Calcio |
| 71' | 🟨 | Matteo Cotali · Frosinone Calcio |
| 89' | ⚽ | Manuel De Luca · Perugia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 256.00 | 348.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 2.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1465.56 | 1560.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.01 | 52.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | 0.94 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| league points | 34.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.87 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.47 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 27.23 | 25.89 |
| state index | -0.01 | 0.98 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |