← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Feb 12, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Miele
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 55% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.82 |
| Spal win | 19% | 5.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza −0.75 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Spal −0.75 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟥 | Lorenzo Dickmann · Spal |
| 36' | 🟨 | Luca Vido · Spal |
| 43' | 🟨 | Andrea Barberis · AC Monza |
| 45' | ⚽ | Dany Mota · AC Monza |
| 52' | ⚽ | Mario Sampirisi · AC Monza |
| 69' | 🟨 | Gastón Ramírez · AC Monza |
| 73' | 🟨 | Salvatore Esposito · Spal |
| 77' | ⚽ | Gastón Ramírez · AC Monza |
| 79' | 🟨 | Raffaele Celia · Spal |
| 89' | ⚽ | Andrea Colpani · AC Monza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 2 |
| 9 | On target | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 22 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AC Monza | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | U-Power Stadium |
| coach days | 226.00 | 42.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.72 | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1529.40 | 1431.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.56 | -23.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.72 |
| league points | 36.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | 0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.82 | 27.37 |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |