← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Feb 12, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Minelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 37% | 2.70 |
| Cittadella win | 33% | 3.07 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese +0 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Cittadella +0 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Tiago Casasola · Cremonese |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mirko Antonucci · Cittadella |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alessandro Mattioli · Cittadella |
| 46' | 🟨 | Dario Del Fabro · Cittadella |
| 54' | ⚽ | Cristian Buonaiuto · Cremonese |
| 62' | 🟨 | Michele Castagnetti · Cremonese |
| 64' | 🟨 | Mamadou Tounkara · Cittadella |
| 73' | 🟨 | Mamadou Tounkara · Cittadella |
| 73' | 🟥 | Mamadou Tounkara · Cittadella |
| 77' | 🟨 | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 89' | 🟨 | Matteo Bianchetti · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 226.00 | 407.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1507.18 | 1531.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.46 | 34.39 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | 0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 50.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| league points | 36.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | -0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.64 | 26.37 |
| state index | -0.17 | 0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.89 | -0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |