← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Feb 6, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Massa
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 44% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| AC Monza win | 26% | 3.71 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| AC Monza −0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Matteo Bianchetti · Cremonese |
| 22' | 🟨 | Davide Bettella · AC Monza |
| 30' | 🟨 | Leonardo Sernicola · Cremonese |
| 33' | ⚽ | Gianluca Gaetano · Cremonese |
| 44' | 🟨 | Tiago Casasola · Cremonese |
| 46' | ⚽ | Daniel Ciofani · Cremonese |
| 54' | ⚽ | Marco D'Alessandro · AC Monza |
| 59' | 🟨 | Carlos Augusto · AC Monza |
| 64' | ⚽ | Daniel Ciofani · Cremonese |
| 76' | 🟨 | Caleb Okoli · Cremonese |
| 84' | ⚽ | Patrick Ciurria · AC Monza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Marrone · AC Monza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | AC Monza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 401.00 | 220.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 4.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1523.06 | 1538.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.54 | 17.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.20 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.69 |
| league points | 38.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 13.91 | 15.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.81 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 24.93 | 26.26 |
| state index | 0.70 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.58 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |