← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Feb 5, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Marcenaro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Ascoli win | 31% | 3.27 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Perugia +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Gabriele Angella · Perugia |
| 16' | 🟨 | Atanas Iliev · Ascoli |
| 26' | ⚽ | Francesco Lisi · Perugia |
| 41' | 🟨 | Nicola Falasco · Ascoli |
| 41' | 🟨 | Ryder Matos · Perugia |
| 60' | 🟨 | Manuel De Luca · Perugia |
| 80' | 🟨 | Marco Olivieri · Perugia |
| 85' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Caligara · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 0 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 27 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 431.00 | 249.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1475.14 | 1453.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.47 | -6.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.57 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | — |
| league points | 35.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 14.19 | 14.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | -0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.74 | 28.06 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |