← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Feb 5, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Aureliano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 47% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Cosenza win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza +0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Brescia +0.5 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟥 | Davide Adorni · Brescia |
| 27' | 🟨 | Emanuele Ndoj · Cosenza |
| 32' | 🟨 | Emanuele Ndoj · Cosenza |
| 32' | 🟥 | Emanuele Ndoj · Cosenza |
| 36' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Caso · Cosenza |
| 84' | 🟨 | Federico Proia · Brescia |
| 86' | 🟨 | Marco Carraro · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 20 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 4.00 | 249.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 3.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1345.46 | 1559.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.12 | -1.30 |
| eye test v1 | -1.09 | 0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.90 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.83 |
| league points | 20.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.84 | 25.82 |
| state index | -1.45 | 0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.00 |