← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Feb 5, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Piccinini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.50 |
| Como 1907 win | 25% | 3.97 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 +0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| US Lecce +0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Arturo Calabresi · US Lecce |
| 4' | ⚽ (pen) | Alberto Cerri · Como 1907 |
| 13' | ⚽ | Marcin Listkowski · US Lecce |
| 24' | 🟨 | Morten Hjulmand · US Lecce |
| 72' | 🟨 | Nicholas Ioannou · Como 1907 |
| 75' | 🟨 | Antonino Gallo · US Lecce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 21 |
| 3 | On target | 9 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | US Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| coach days | 431.00 | 219.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1401.08 | 1607.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.04 | 6.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | 0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.46 | -0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.00 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.75 |
| league points | 29.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 59.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 9.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 2.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | 0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 1.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.12 | 27.44 |
| state index | -0.32 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |