← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Feb 5, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 34% | 2.89 |
| Alessandria win | 34% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.96 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Alessandria +0 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Ernesto Torregrossa · Pisa |
| 34' | 🟨 | Matteo Di Gennaro · Alessandria |
| 37' | ⚽ (pen) | Michele Marconi · Alessandria |
| 43' | ⚽ (pen) | Ernesto Torregrossa · Pisa |
| 53' | 🟨 | Riccardo Chiarello · Alessandria |
| 60' | 🟨 | Marius Marin · Pisa |
| 75' | 🟨 | Gaetano Masucci · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 17 | Fouls | 25 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alessandria | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta |
| coach days | 400.00 | 1345.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1417.37 | 1524.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.83 | 9.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.40 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.79 |
| league points | 20.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.84 | -1.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.06 | 27.09 |
| state index | -0.18 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.76 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |