← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Feb 5, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Colombo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana win | 50% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.47 |
| Reggina win | 22% | 4.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Reggina −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Stefano Pettinari · Ternana |
| 16' | ⚽ | Antonio Palumbo · Ternana |
| 36' | 🟨 | Stefano Pettinari · Ternana |
| 51' | 🟨 | Davide Agazzi · Ternana |
| 55' | 🟨 | Adriano Montalto · Reggina |
| 72' | 🟥 | Nicola Bellomo · Reggina |
| 76' | 🟨 | Michael Folorunsho · Reggina |
| 80' | 🟨 | Thiago Cionek · Reggina |
| 88' | 🟨 | Antonio Palumbo · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Reggina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 1100.00 | 249.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1416.07 | 1412.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.48 | -47.95 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | -1.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.47 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.20 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.65 |
| league points | 27.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 28.97 | 28.40 |
| state index | -0.63 | -1.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.35 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |