← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Jan 30, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Meraviglia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 52% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Crotone win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Crotone −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Samuele Mulattieri · Crotone |
| 37' | ⚽ | Franco Vázquez · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Simone Canestrelli · Crotone |
| 51' | 🟨 | Theophilus Awua · Crotone |
| 57' | 🟨 | Andrea Rispoli · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 70' | 🟨 | Danilo · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 78' | 🟨 | Stanko Jurić · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 89' | ⚽ | Manuel Marras · Crotone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Parma Calcio 1913 | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Ennio Tardini |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 90.00 | 121.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1489.36 | 1395.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.08 | -9.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | 0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.65 |
| league points | 26.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 59.60 |
| rest days | 8.75 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 0.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | 0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 25.07 | — |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.43 | 0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |