← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Jan 30, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Baroni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 60% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
| Cosenza win | 15% | 8.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Cosenza −0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Caso · Cosenza |
| 18' | 🟨 | Alessandro Mattioli · Cittadella |
| 33' | 🟨 | Sauli Väisänen · Cosenza |
| 34' | 🟨 | Daniele Liotti · Cosenza |
| 37' | 🟨 | Michele Rigione · Cosenza |
| 41' | ⚽ | Orji Okwonkwo · Cittadella |
| 64' | 🟨 | Mirko Antonucci · Cittadella |
| 64' | 🟨 | Luca Palmiero · Cosenza |
| 65' | 🟨 | Daniele Donnarumma · Cittadella |
| 80' | 🟥 | Elhan Kastrati · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.11 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 213.00 | 182.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 3.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1514.47 | 1339.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.45 | -43.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | -1.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.00 | 51.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | — |
| league points | 34.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 6.93 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.79 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.60 |
| squad age | 25.39 | 25.46 |
| state index | 0.26 | -1.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.27 | 0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |