← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Jan 23, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Chiffi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
| Cremonese win | 24% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| US Lecce −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.88 |
| Over | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Gabriel Strefezza · US Lecce |
| 11' | 🟨 | Emanuele Valeri · Cremonese |
| 14' | ⚽ | Antonino Gallo · US Lecce |
| 15' | ⚽ | Daniel Ciofani · Cremonese |
| 21' | 🟨 | Luca Valzania · Cremonese |
| 52' | 🟨 | Kastriot Dermaku · US Lecce |
| 58' | 🟨 | Fabio Lucioni · US Lecce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Strizzolo · Cremonese |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Caleb Okoli · US Lecce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Lecce | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Via del Mare |
| coach days | 206.00 | 387.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1595.74 | 1529.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.02 | 44.30 |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | 1.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.20 | 51.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.72 |
| league points | 34.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 8.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.48 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 26.90 | 25.31 |
| state index | 0.72 | 0.93 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |