β Serie B 2021 Β· Sat, Jan 22, 01:00 PM UTC Β· ref: G. Camplone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 56% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.79 |
| Reggina win | 17% | 5.80 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza β0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Reggina β0.75 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | π¨ | Mattia Valoti Β· AC Monza |
| 36' | π¨ | Giuseppe Loiacono Β· Reggina |
| 46' | π¨ | Adriano Montalto Β· Reggina |
| 52' | β½ | Dany Mota Β· AC Monza |
| 72' | π¨ | Davide Bettella Β· AC Monza |
| 74' | π¨ | Federico Ricci Β· Reggina |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 3 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 11 | Corners | 0 |
| 20 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AC Monza | Reggina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | U-Power Stadium |
| coach days | 205.00 | 235.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.71 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1532.75 | 1418.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.86 | -54.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | -0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.47 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 50.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | β | 0.68 |
| league points | 33.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.59 | 0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.28 | 28.71 |
| state index | 0.42 | -1.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |