← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Jan 22, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Paterna
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 46% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Crotone win | 26% | 3.90 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Crotone −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ (pen) | Alberto Cerri · Como 1907 |
| 29' | ⚽ (pen) | Mirko Marić · Crotone |
| 41' | 🟨 | Santiago Visentin · Crotone |
| 43' | 🟨 | Theophilus Awua · Crotone |
| 80' | 🟨 | Filippo Scaglia · Como 1907 |
| 90' | 🟥 | Thomas Schirò · Crotone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 26 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| coach days | 417.00 | 113.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 3.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1403.06 | 1393.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.56 | -38.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | 0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.58 | 0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.62 |
| league points | 28.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 62.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 0.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | 1.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.26 | 24.69 |
| state index | -0.30 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.43 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |