← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Jan 22, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Rapuano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento win | 45% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.23 |
| Alessandria win | 26% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento +0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Alessandria +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Federico Barba · Benevento |
| 38' | ⚽ | Gabriel Lunetta · Alessandria |
| 41' | 🟨 | Tommaso Milanese · Alessandria |
| 54' | ⚽ | Riccardo Chiarello · Alessandria |
| 57' | 🟨 | Edoardo Pierozzi · Alessandria |
| 60' | 🟨 | Abou Ba · Alessandria |
| 73' | 🟨 | Francesco Forte · Benevento |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 22 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alessandria | Benevento |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta |
| coach days | 386.00 | 235.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1420.15 | 1585.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.94 | 30.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | 0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.84 |
| league points | 17.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | 0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.58 | 27.88 |
| state index | -0.22 | 0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |