← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Jan 22, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Dionisi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
| Ternana win | 25% | 3.88 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Brescia −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Frederik Sørensen · Ternana |
| 16' | 🟨 | Stefano Pettinari · Ternana |
| 28' | 🟨 | César Falletti · Ternana |
| 35' | ⚽ | Filip Jagiełło · Brescia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Antonio Palumbo · Ternana |
| 69' | 🟨 | Stefano Sabelli · Brescia |
| 77' | 🟨 | Davide Agazzi · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 235.00 | 1086.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.18 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1565.44 | 1410.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.32 | -14.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | 0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | -0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 47.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.62 |
| league points | 40.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.65 | 28.77 |
| state index | 0.40 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | -1.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |