← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Jan 22, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 38% | 2.70 |
| Pisa win | 32% | 3.36 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Spal −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Francesco Vicari · Spal |
| 26' | 🟨 | Antonio Caracciolo · Pisa |
| 51' | 🟨 | Samuele Birindelli · Pisa |
| 61' | 🟨 | Luca Mora · Spal |
| 72' | 🟨 | Marco Mancosu · Spal |
| 82' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Mastinu · Pisa |
| 88' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Lucca · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 0 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 22 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Romeo Menti |
| coach days | 21.00 | 1331.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1431.47 | 1525.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.05 | 7.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.47 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | — |
| league points | 24.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 2.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | -0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.06 | 28.02 |
| state index | -0.87 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.41 | -0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |