← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Jan 16, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: E. Abbattista
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 45% | 2.11 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.16 |
| Perugia win | 24% | 4.19 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza −0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Perugia −0.25 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Simone Santoro · Perugia |
| 42' | 🟨 | Gabriele Angella · Perugia |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Mattia Valoti · AC Monza |
| 60' | 🟨 | Ryder Matos · Perugia |
| 64' | ⚽ (pen) | Manuel De Luca · Perugia |
| 70' | 🟨 | Salvatore Burrai · Perugia |
| 75' | ⚽ | Christian Kouan · Perugia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Patrick Ciurria · AC Monza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AC Monza | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | U-Power Stadium |
| coach days | 199.00 | 229.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.74 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1536.36 | 1464.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.86 | 13.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| league points | 32.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 2.82 | 28.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.73 | -0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.85 | 27.64 |
| state index | 0.60 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |