← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Jan 16, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: A. Colombo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 |
| Pordenone win | 20% | 4.99 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone +0.75 | 54% | 1.82 |
| US Lecce +0.75 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Kastriot Dermaku · US Lecce |
| 24' | ⚽ | Mario Gargiulo · US Lecce |
| 26' | 🟨 | Alberto Barison · Pordenone |
| 31' | 🟨 | Morten Hjulmand · US Lecce |
| 41' | 🟨 | Marco Pinato · Pordenone |
| 47' | 🟨 | Simone Pasa · Pordenone |
| 57' | 🟨 | Karlo Butić · Pordenone |
| 62' | 🟨 | Gabriel Strefezza · US Lecce |
| 67' | 🟨 | Simone Pasa · Pordenone |
| 67' | 🟥 | Simone Pasa · Pordenone |
| 90' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Mariano · US Lecce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 5 | Shots | 15 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 19 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pordenone | US Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Guido Teghil |
| coach days | 137.00 | 199.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 3.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1326.17 | 1591.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.76 | 3.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.90 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| league points | 8.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.20 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 29.09 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.42 | 1.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.44 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.78 | 26.36 |
| state index | -0.64 | 0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.99 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |