← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Jan 15, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Santoro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 41% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.28 |
| Reggina win | 29% | 3.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Brescia +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.76 |
| Over | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Dimitri Bisoli · Brescia |
| 12' | 🟨 | Nicolò Bianchi · Reggina |
| 16' | ⚽ | Florian Ayé · Brescia |
| 24' | 🟨 | Gianluca Di Chiara · Reggina |
| 30' | ⚽ | Florian Ayé · Brescia |
| 51' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Crisetig · Reggina |
| 58' | 🟨 | Marko Pajač · Brescia |
| 69' | 🟨 | Vasco Regini · Reggina |
| 86' | 🟨 | Përparim Hetemaj · Reggina |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matteo Tramoni · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 0 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggina | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Oreste Granillo |
| coach days | 228.00 | 228.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 3.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1430.48 | 1553.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -55.17 | -11.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.71 |
| league points | 26.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 28.00 | 27.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | 0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.53 | 26.26 |
| state index | -1.29 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.00 |