← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Jan 15, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Gariglio
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 64% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.47 |
| Como 1907 win | 14% | 7.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −1 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Como 1907 −1 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under | 43% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Cristian Buonaiuto · Cremonese |
| 28' | 🟨 | Caleb Okoli · Cremonese |
| 32' | 🟨 | Luca Vignali · Como 1907 |
| 35' | 🟨 | Gianluca Gaetano · Cremonese |
| 48' | 🟨 | Vittorio Parigini · Como 1907 |
| 57' | 🟨 | Luca Vignali · Como 1907 |
| 57' | 🟥 | Luca Vignali · Como 1907 |
| 68' | 🟨 | Michele Castagnetti · Cremonese |
| 75' | ⚽ | Jaime Báez · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 379.00 | 410.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 3.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1521.39 | 1411.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.90 | 15.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.81 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.10 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.83 |
| league points | 35.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 28.00 | 28.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.84 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.68 | 27.67 |
| state index | 0.62 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | -0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |