← Serie B 2021 · Fri, Jan 14, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: V. Marini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana win | 55% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.05 |
| Ascoli win | 20% | 4.92 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Ascoli −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under | 43% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Luca Ghiringhelli · Ternana |
| 20' | ⚽ | Fabio Maistro · Ascoli |
| 23' | ⚽ | Fabio Maistro · Ascoli |
| 32' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Paghera · Ternana |
| 37' | 🟨 | Fabio Maistro · Ascoli |
| 42' | ⚽ (pen) | Fabrizio Caligara · Ascoli |
| 45' | 🟨 | Tommaso D'Orazio · Ascoli |
| 57' | ⚽ | César Falletti · Ternana |
| 58' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Caligara · Ascoli |
| 73' | 🟨 | Alessandro Celli · Ternana |
| 75' | ⚽ | Federico Baschirotto · Ascoli |
| 90' | ⚽ | Diego Peralta · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 22 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 1078.00 | 409.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 1.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1427.37 | 1445.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.32 | -19.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.55 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | -0.63 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.00 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| league points | 26.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 26.18 | 27.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.59 | -0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 30.45 | 29.55 |
| state index | -0.17 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.06 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |