← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Dec 19, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Guida
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 46% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.44 |
| Ternana win | 25% | 3.93 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Perugia −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.83 |
| Over | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Marco Capuano · Ternana |
| 17' | 🟨 | Salvatore Burrai · Perugia |
| 30' | ⚽ | Christian Kouan · Perugia |
| 39' | 🟨 | Stefano Pettinari · Ternana |
| 45' | 🟨 | Frederik Sørensen · Ternana |
| 48' | ⚽ | Stefano Pettinari · Ternana |
| 77' | 🟨 | Filippo Sgarbi · Perugia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Modibo Diakité · Ternana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Antonio Palumbo · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 201.00 | 1052.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1467.87 | 1424.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.61 | 6.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | 0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 48.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.76 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 29.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 8.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.47 | -0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 27.72 | 27.76 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.35 | -1.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |