← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Dec 19, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Paterna
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 45% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.22 |
| Cittadella win | 25% | 4.05 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia −0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Cittadella −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Elhan Kastrati · Cittadella |
| 40' | 🟨 | Matteo Tramoni · Brescia |
| 52' | ⚽ | Mirko Antonucci · Cittadella |
| 56' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 71' | ⚽ | Stefano Moreo · Brescia |
| 75' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marko Pajač · Brescia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Amedeo Benedetti · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 201.00 | 171.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1555.84 | 1518.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.66 | 15.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 63.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.85 |
| league points | 36.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | -0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.20 | 26.87 |
| state index | 0.03 | 0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |