← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Dec 18, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Miele
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 41% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.19 |
| Reggina win | 28% | 3.65 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Reggina −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Rigoberto Rivas · Reggina |
| 36' | 🟨 | Claud Adjapong · Reggina |
| 55' | ⚽ (pen) | Alberto Cerri · Como 1907 |
| 65' | 🟨 | Alessandro Bellemo · Como 1907 |
| 80' | 🟨 | Thiago Cionek · Reggina |
| 84' | 🟨 | Filippo Scaglia · Como 1907 |
| 85' | 🟨 | Thiago Cionek · Reggina |
| 85' | 🟥 | Thiago Cionek · Reggina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 23 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 12 | Corners | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | Reggina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| coach days | 382.00 | 200.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1412.48 | 1429.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.64 | -68.52 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | -0.92 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.64 |
| league points | 27.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 5.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.65 | 28.67 |
| state index | -0.15 | -1.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |