← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Dec 18, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Zufferli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 42% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.16 |
| Ascoli win | 28% | 3.63 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Ascoli +0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Leonardo Sernicola · Cremonese |
| 22' | 🟨 | Eric Botteghin · Ascoli |
| 31' | ⚽ | Emanuele Valeri · Cremonese |
| 39' | ⚽ | Cristian Buonaiuto · Cremonese |
| 42' | 🟨 | Nicolò Fagioli · Cremonese |
| 44' | ⚽ | Mirko Eramo · Ascoli |
| 51' | 🟨 | Eric Botteghin · Ascoli |
| 51' | 🟥 | Eric Botteghin · Ascoli |
| 55' | 🟨 | Federico Dionisi · Ascoli |
| 57' | 🟨 | Michele Castagnetti · Cremonese |
| 70' | ⚽ | Samuel Di Carmine · Cremonese |
| 71' | 🟨 | Nicola Leali · Ascoli |
| 74' | 🟨 | Mirko Eramo · Ascoli |
| 74' | 🟨 | Luca Vido · Cremonese |
| 90' | ⚽ | Luca Vido · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 382.00 | 351.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1464.05 | 1502.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.00 | 19.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | 0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.55 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 49.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| league points | 29.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.79 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 28.91 | 26.59 |
| state index | -0.15 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.76 | -0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |